
post 13th may when voting was over all over india, all d news channels were flush with their exit poll result....
most of them predicted a close fight between the top two groups and only one of the channels predicted a score of 220 for one group....tht means none of them were close enough to where it has finally closed now...
we know tht this is jus an exit polls and there were "n" number of disclaimers by all tht x %age swing can cause Y effect on the count...also how tricky d job is knowin how varied india as a country is how one issue which is affecting a particular region would b totally irrelevant in the adjoining regionmost of them predicted a close fight between the top two groups and only one of the channels predicted a score of 220 for one group....tht means none of them were close enough to where it has finally closed now...
Agency UPA NDA Third Front
UTVi 195 183 105-121
HeadlinesToday 191 180 38 – Left
134 – Others
StarNews 199 196 100
CNNIBN: 185-205 165-185 110-130
TimesNow: 199 183 112
INDIATV: 195-201 189-195 113-121
NewsX: 199 191 104
NDTV India: 216 177 105
RESULTS 262 158 67
but to the viewers' disappointment, each channel was claimin victory as how correct they were in predicting the final tally after the leads were out.....d worst thing was how they were bragging over it again and again right in the midst of counting....
all praising themselves for giving the so called "d true picture" first on their channel....how they felt the under current, how they had gauged the pulse of people and how correct they were in predicting it first !!! for a moment it seemed tht election results were secondary and their side of story of predicting the results was more importantwe appreciate d amount of work done by all the ppl in travellin the breadth and dept of the country and giving us d picture, but pls dont assume d viewer is a fool who would forget what they showed jus 2-3 days ago...
in the end, the truth prevails that once again these psephologists have got it wrong in India just like in 2004..that predicting election results in India is more of an art than jus plain number crunching science..
1 comment:
the truth is nobody will never be able to capture the right sentiment of crores.
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